Preflop Bet Sizing Based On Position

tomas-blogThis is a topic that Marios brought during the session we had. I love sizing preflop raises according to my position, so that it’s 5BB UTG, 3BB BTN and 4BB all positions in the middle (talking about 6Max).

When Marios noticed that, we had a discussion which basically ended up in argument whether it’s better to play a bigger or a smaller pot when out of position. The thing is that logically we want to wager the most of our money when we have the position on our opponent, and that’s the side Marios was defending. On the other hand, I’m advocating a different approach – assuming we enter the pot with the best preflop hand more often than not (which we are doing if we are to win), the less money we have left in our stack to play without position after the flop, the better.

Now, assume you have a marginally better preflop hand than your opponent, but he will have a positional advantage postflop. Would you rather put all your stack in right now, or see the flop for free in a 0BB pot and play for stacks post-flop out of position? I chose first. And of course we don’t have this extreme choice to make at the tables, but the closer we get to the first option, the better we stand.

The other thing is that I don’t want others to play against me when I’m out of position. Adding +1BB may make the opponent think twice about calling low pocket pair, or a suited one gapper, and that’s great, because I don’t want him to play these hands against me when he’s last to act.

On the contrary it’s true when I’m on the button. By making the raise 1BB smaller I can widen my range, because whenever I get called, we have huge stacks, compared to a smallish pot, left to play with me in position. I like it. I don’t even mind that my raise with AA is also just 3BB on the button, because I so much more often will be profitably playing marginal hands, that I wouldn’t be able to otherwise. It compensates for that 1BB lost with your aces once every thousand hands, or so (AA exactly on the button is rare :-) ).

And if you don’t see how much difference that makes, here’s a short example:

Assume we’re on the button, everyone folds to us and the effective stacks are 100BB deep.

If we make it 4BB and get called by BB, it’s 8.5BB pot we play with 96BB stacks left behind. That’s ~11 pots in our stacks that we can play for.

If we make it 3BB and the same BB calls, we play for a 6.5BB pot with 97BB stacks, and that’s ~15 pots left to play with us in position. It’s way better to be able to wager 15 pots in position, than 11 pots, isn’t it?

The opposite is true when we’re UTG.

Hopefully I was able to explain my thoughts in some understandable manner, so that you can comment if I make any sense here or not :-)

preflop preflop

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